Yield gap in winter wheat between regions widens — 7.2 t/ha in western regions vs. 4.2 t/ha in eastern

Agrohub has released the first wave of its Post Harvest Insights report — an operational analytics overview that helps assess the return on agrotechnological investments relative to achieved yields.

Analysts note that volatility in winter wheat yields between macro-regions has increased: in 2025, the average yield in the western macro-region reached 7.2 t/ha, while in the eastern macro-region it was 4.2 t/ha. This gap is attributed to differences in rainfall levels during the crop vegetation period.

“We are seeing significant differences in yields across regions. These indicators are affected not only by agronomists’ technological decisions but also by climate change, primarily the reduction in rainfall in central and eastern Ukraine. In the next wave of the study, we are adding precipitation indicators to track their impact on yields across different macro-regions,” commented Oksana Bobrova, Head of Benchmarking at Agrohub.

Fifteen companies took part in the study, with a combined harvest area of more than 550,000 ha for early-season crops. The research was conducted from August to early September 2025 and covered three crops: winter wheat, rapeseed, and barley. The next wave of Post Harvest Insights is scheduled for late November 2025 and will focus on late-season crops.

According to the results, average yields (in standard weight) were as follows:

• winter wheat — 6.4 t/ha
• winter rapeseed — 2.8 t/ha
• winter barley — 5.5 t/ha

The wheat result is nearly identical to last season’s (6.3 t/ha). Rapeseed, however, showed a decline: the average yield in 2025 was 17.6% lower than in the 2024 season.

Weather conditions during the harvest of early-season crops were generally favourable, resulting in average moisture levels close to baseline: 13.9% for wheat, 8.9% for rapeseed, and 14.2% for barley.