Winter wheat crop losses caused by frost and drought may reach 20-50% in parts of Ukraine — ASAP Agri
Photo by: ФОП Чередніченко / Cherednichenko Farm
Frosts in late April and drought in May caused significant damage to winter crops in Ukraine. Winter wheat and winter barley were hit the hardest. In some areas, winter wheat yield losses may reach 20–50%, Viktoriya Semenova, a field analyst at ASAP Agri, told Latifundist.com.
According to her, unless there is abundant rainfall in June, the average yield of winter crops will be lower than in 2024.
“In the southern regions — Kherson and Mykolaiv oblasts — the worst effects are being recorded due to severe drought and high temperatures. Meanwhile, in central regions — Kirovohrad and parts of Vinnytsia oblasts — crops are showing damage from frosts,” Semenova noted.
Olivier Bouillet, Head of Analytics and Insights at ASAP Agri, says that in the western regions of Ukraine, farmers report delayed spring crop development due to cold weather and excessive rainfall, which could negatively affect yields.
In the south, especially in Kherson oblast, satellite imagery and farmers’ feedback indicate significant stress or damage to crops.
In eastern Ukraine, the main problem remains a prolonged drought that began in autumn and only partially eased in May. Meanwhile, in central regions of Ukraine (Kyiv, Cherkasy, and Poltava oblasts), the situation remains relatively stable, Bouillet added.